The GOP may likely come apart soon

Great article detailing the corner the House Freedom Caucus has painted the GOP into. The only way the House and Senate can conduct the really important business will have ti include Democrats if the Freedom Caucus continues to try to run roughshod over the process.

House Freedom Caucus Approaches a Reckoning

I don’t think there is any formal list of the members of the House Freedom Caucus, but it appears to have about 30 members. At the moment, there are 240 Republican members of Congress and 194 Democratic members, with one seat vacant due to the resignation of Jason Chaffetz of Utah. Assuming all members are voting, the Speaker needs 218 votes to pass a bill.

If the roughly 30 members of the House Freedom Caucus refuse to support a bill, that gives Speaker Ryan about 210 votes. On some issues, he might be able to find eight to ten Democrats who will support him, but that’s simply not the case on a bill to repeal or replace Obamacare.


This is a key paragraph:

“All of this is happening because the Republicans decided to pursue a legislative strategy this year that required them to vote as a unified bloc and would not necessitate making any concessions to the Democrats. They set up a dual budget reconciliation process that was supposed to enable them to repeal Obamacare in the Senate with 50 votes and then pass a tax reform thought the Senate, also with 50 votes.”

What may well happen is a coalition of moderate Republicans works with Democrats to overpower the Freedom Caucus. Then what will the Freedom Caucus do?

Image: Janet Galore