The divide between young voters and older voters was as stark this year as it was in 2008. While Obama lost ground among voters younger than 30, he still won this age group by 24 points over Mitt Romney (60% to 36%). He also maintained a slimmer advantage among voters 30 to 44 (52% Obama, 45% Romney), while losing ground among those 45 to 64 and those 65 and older.
Until 2004, there was no difference in the percentage voting Democrat between those over and those under 30. But then we see a huge change as the millennials begin to have an impact. If we look where their support is now, it is hugely for Sanders over the Third Way Democrat Clinton.
He won 84% of those under 30 in the NH primary. Women under 30 gave him 82% of the vote.
And what is often overlooked is that the Over 30 has also been trending Democrat as a whole. As the Millennials begin to cross that boundary in the next few years, expect to see even more push for a Sanders-type candidate.
Clinton may well win this year but it will be the last hoorah of he Third Way. I expect that at the midterms, many new Dems will be elected as the demographic shifts and political power moves from th aging, dying Boomers to the Millennials.
Image: John Morton