Extremely dangerous Category 5 Tropical Cyclone Phailin is closing in on the northeast coast of India on the Bay of Bengal. Phailin put on a phenomenal burst of rapid intensification on Thursday, going from a tropical storm with 65 mph winds to a top-end Category 4 storm with 155 mph winds in just 24 hours. After reaching peak intensity near 8 pm EDT Thursday, Phailin–whose name means “a sapphire” in Thai–began an eyewall replacement cycle. The eyewall collapsed, and a new, larger-diameter eyewall formed from an outer spiral band. This process typically weakens the top winds of a tropical cyclone by 5 – 15 mph, and satellite estimates of Phailin’s central pressure increased from 910 mb to 934 mb during the eyewall replacement cycle, from 04 – 11 UTC Friday. However, satellite images show that Phailin has completed its eyewall replacement cycle and is now re-intensifying, with the cloud tops of the very intense thunderstorms in the eyewall expanding and cooling, as updrafts in the eyewall grow stronger and push the clouds higher into the atmosphere.
It went from a tropical storm to a category 4 storm in 24 hours. The storm surge my top 10 feet. The last storm of this size that hit India killed about 10,000 people.
Luckily, the area this storm is heading, while close to the landfall position of the earlier storm, is not as low lying, so the surge may not penetrate as far inland. But that may be the only lucky thing here.
It’s the flooding that may be most worrisome. In the previous storm, 2000 people in one town that was 150 miles inland died from flooding.
And, as you can see, there is another hurricane that is hitting the Philippines right now that wi projected to continue on to Vietnam.
There is also this:
While unlikely, it is possible that Texas could get hit from the rains of a storm from the Pacific!