My psychic powers drink your milkshake!

ESP proponents claim that ESP skeptics are psychic, and use their powers to suppress ESP
[Via Boing Boing]

Clay sez, “Stuart Ritchie, a psychology doctoral student in Edinburgh, worked with two colleagues to try to replicate the results of a famous recent experiment, claiming people could predict in advance whether they were about to be shown erotic images. When the three failed to find any such evidence for ESP they sent their results out for publication, and the British Psychology Journal, one of the journals to which it was sent, in turn sent the trio’s article out for review. When Ritchie et al got the responses back ‘…there were two reviews, one very positive, urging publication, and one quite negative. This latter review didn’t find any problems in our methodology or writeup itself, but suggested that, since the three of us (Richard Wiseman, Chris French and I) are all skeptical of ESP, we might have unconsciously influenced the results using our own psychic powers.’ They are still looking for a place to publish their findings

Anyway, the BJP editor agreed with the second reviewer, and said that he’d only accept our paper if we ran a fourth experiment where we got a believer to run all the participants, to control for these experimenter effects. We thought that was a bit silly, and said that to the editor, but he didn’t change his mind. Wethink doing another replication with a believer at the helm is the right thing to do, for the reason above, and for the reason that Bem had stated in his original paper that his experimental paradigms were designed so that most of the work is done by a computer and the experimenter has very little to do (this was explicitly because of his concerns about possible experimenter effects). So, after this very long and unproductive delay, we’re off to another journal to try again. How frustrating.

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I weep.

Will the Supreme Court decide to screw us?

Oblivious Supreme Court poised to legalize medical patents
[Via Ars Technica]

The Supreme Court on Wednesday heard oral arguments in a case that raises a fundamental question: whether a physician can infringe a patent merely by using scientific research to inform her treatment decisions.

Unfortunately, this issue was barely mentioned in Wednesday’s arguments. A number of influential organizations had filed briefs warning of the dire consequences of allowing medical patents, but their arguments were largely ignored in the courtroom. Instead, everyone seemed to agree that medical patents were legal in general, and focused on the narrow question of whether the specific patent in the case was overly broad.

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Most likely. These sorts of patents could damage medicine about as much as software patents have damaged the computer industry.

But you can be sure that this Supreme Court will do whatever helps business, no matter the cost to people.

The Civil War from another perspective

NewImageby chadh

The Civil War Isn’t Tragic
[Via Ta-Nehisi Coates : The Atlantic]

We fought for months over this. Here is the result:

In our present time, to express the view of the enslaved–to say that the Civil War was a significant battle in the long war against bondage and for government by the people–is to compromise the comfortable narrative. It is to remind us that some of our own forefathers once explicitly rejected the republic to which they’d pledged themselves, and dreamed up another country, with slavery not merely as a bug, but as its very premise. It is to point out that at this late hour, the totems of the empire of slavery–chief among them, its flag–still enjoy an honored place in the homes, and public spaces, of self-professed patriots and vulgar lovers of “freedom.” It is to understand what it means to live in a country that will never apologize for slavery, but will not stop apologizing for the Civil War.
In August, I returned to Gettys­­burg. My visits to battlefields are always unsettling. Repeatedly, I have dragged my family along, and upon arrival I generally wish that I hadn’t. Nowhere, as a black person, do I feel myself more of a problem than at these places, premised, to varying degrees, on talking around me. But of all the Civil War battlefields I’ve visited, Gettys­burg now seems the most honest and forward-­looking. The film in the visitor center begins with slavery, putting it at the center of the conflict. And in recent years, the National Park Service has made an effort to recognize an understated historical element of the town–its community of free blacks.
The Confederate army, during its march into Pennsylvania, routinely kidnapped blacks and sold them south. By the time Lee’s legions arrived in Gettys­burg, virtually all of the town’s free blacks had hidden or fled. On the morning of July 3, General George Pickett’s division prepared for its legendary charge. Nearby, where the Union forces were gathered, lived Abraham Brien, a free black farmer who rented out a house on his property to Mag Palmer and her family. One evening before the war, two slave-catchers had fallen upon Palmer as she made her way home. (After the passage of the Fugitive Slave Act, slave-catchers patrolled the North, making little distinction between freeborn blacks and runaways.) They bound her hands, but with help from a passerby, she fought them off, biting off a thumb of one of the hunters.
Faulkner famously wrote of Pickett’s Charge:
For every Southern boy fourteen years old, not once but whenever he wants it, there is the instant when it’s still not yet two o’clock on that July afternoon in 1863 … and it’s all in the balance, it hasn’t happened yet, it hasn’t even begun yet … That moment doesn’t need even a fourteen-year-old boy to think This time.
These “Southern boys,” like Catton’s “people,” are all white. But I, standing on Brien’s property, standing where Mag Palmer lived, saw Pickett’s soldiers charging through history, in wild pursuit of their strange birthright–the license to beat and shackle women under the cover of night. That is all of what was “in the balance,” the nostalgic moment’s corrupt and unspeakable core.
This is the conclusion of a really incredible debate. I doubt that I will convince all of you. But I love you guys nonetheless. It was fighting and grappling with you that gave me this. I hope you enjoy. More on this in the coming hours and days.
See the escalation of this long argument hereherehereherehere, and here.

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I enjoy good writing, even if I do not always agree with the author. But TNC , in this work and in his linked discussions leading up to it, provides an important view often left out of much of the mainstream discussion of the Civil War.

He has become  a Civil War buff – as is my Dad – and his descriptions of visiting the battlefields is similar to the experience my father has described. He has read many of the same histories I have. So we have a point where we can connect.

And he just about has me convinced – celebrating the  Civil War as a victory and not as as tragedy should be something we do not shrink from. It should be a recognition that it does represent, at its core, the ideals of the Enlightenment brought to devastating fruition. These were not just idle theories about how cultures and societies should organize themselves.

We fought one bloody Civil War in the late 18th Century to begin the creation of an Enlightenment society. We fought an even bigger and bloodier war in the mid 19th century bring that Enlightenment society to full birth.

And the consequence of following Enlightenment principles is that EVERYONE’s life gets better – not just a chosen few. Because they change a zero sum game – one that has been played by feudal states and monarchies –  into a positive sum game – one played by democracies and republics. And these societies simply prosper compared to the alternative, as they make full use of all of their citizens, not just a chosen few.

The years before the Civil War are rife with battles back and forth trying to deal with these ideals, in a society that very obviously did not follow them. If we think things are difficult today, read any good history – as with TNC, I recommend McPherson’s Battle Cry of Freedom, the best single volume history of the times.

We essentially had a police state throughout most of the country, there was open rebellion with free citizens in the North who happened to be black being kidnapped and sold as slaves in the South, while others from the North working to help slaves escape. There were compromises which bartered people’s lives for political favors. They were really horrible times.

Because we really could not live by the very principles we espoused. We really were psychotic and this became a large part of our culture. Yes, it would have been cheaper – in both money and lives – for the North to simply have bought all the South’s slaves and emancipated them. And as I wrote earlier “But hard numbers have a difficult time with many worldviews, particularly the one espoused by Keziah Goodwyn Hopkins Brevard. The slaves made her wealthy. Secession would maintain that wealth. How wrong she was.”

TNC provides some great reasons why we should celebrate the millions of people who were set free by the War. He quotes from some of the same material I have to show just how unjust and un-Enlightened so many were during that time – from the Cornerstone Speech to Succession declarations – to arrive at this:

It’s really simple for me. One group of Americans attempted to raise a country on property in Negroes. Another group of Americans, many of them Negroes themselves, stopped them. As surely as we lack the ability to see tragedy in violently throwing off the yoke of the English, I lack the ability to see tragedy in violently throwing off the yoke of slaveholders.

We should celebrate what we have been able to become because we fought the War.

We fought one of the most brutal wars in history in order to make these Enlightenment principles manifest throughout our country. We demonstrated that, even if the economics demanded it, a slave society could not stand. We demonstrated that, even if the politics demanded it, a slave society could not stand. We demonstrated that, even if a large percentage of Americans demanded it, a slave state could not stand.

Because the very basis of our country – the very Enlightenment principles hardcoded into our Constitution, our Declaration of Independence, the Federalist Papers, etc. – demanded that a slave society could not stand.

By ridding ourselves of a slave society, we opened ourselves to fully embodying the Enlightenment principles we strive to match today. It would not be an easy or even march forward. But we, and the world, are the better for it.

It is a great thing we did.


Photos that bring tears – of sorrow and joy.

2011: The Year in Photos, Part 1 of 3 – Alan Taylor – In Focus – The Atlantic
[Via The Atlantic]

2011 was a year of global tumult, marked by widespread social and political uprisings, economic crises, and a great deal more. We saw the fall of multiple dictators, welcomed a new country (South Sudan), witnessed our planet’s population grow to 7 billion, and watched in horror as Japan was struck by a devastating earthquake, a tsunami, and a nuclear disaster. From the Arab Spring to Los Indignados to Occupy Wall Street, citizens around the world took to the streets in massive numbers, protesting against governments and financial institutions, risking arrest, injury, and in some cases their lives. Collected here is Part 1 of a three-part photo summary of the last year, covering 2011′s first several months. Part 2 is now live, and Part 3 of the series will go up tomorrow – totaling 120 images in all. [40 photos + 1 more]

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With so many cameras available today, it seems as though it is a photojournalism’s dream.Many of these are simply unforgettable. As they should be.

Mythbusters in trouble

Mythbusters Crew Accidentally Fire Cannonball Through Suburban Neighborhood… Quickly Start Deleting Tweets Of The Evidence
[Via Techdirt]

Well, well. Slashdot points us to this bizarre and slightly scary story about how everyone’s favorite TV show, MythBusters, had an experiment that went really, really wrong yesterday. Apparently, it fired a home-made cannon at the Alameda County Sheriff’s Department bomb disposal range. The idea was to shoot the cannonball into huge water containers.

But they missed.

Instead, the cannonball went hurtling through the suburban northern California town of Dublin, at 4:15, just as kids were getting home from school. According to the SF Chronicle report on this:

The cantaloupe-sized cannonball missed the water, tore through a cinder-block wall, skipped off a hillside and flew some 700 yards east, right into the Tassajara Creek neighborhood, where children were returning home from school at 4:15 p.m., authorities said.

There, the 6-inch projectile bounced in front of a home on quiet Cassata Place, ripped through the front door, raced up the stairs and blasted through a bedroom, where a man, woman and child slept through it all – only awakening because of plaster dust.

The ball wasn’t done bouncing.

It exited the house, leaving a perfectly round hole in the stucco, crossed six-lane Tassajara Road, took out several tiles from the roof of a home on Bellevue Circle and finally slammed into the Gill family’s beige Toyota Sienna minivan in a driveway on Springvale Drive.

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This is a pretty scary accident. The original article has a video report.

The cannon ball traveled quite some distance. Very lucky no one was hurt but I imagine they will be rethinking living next to such a facility.

Here is another video report.

Dealing with disruptive technologies from within

[Crossposted at SpreadingScience]

disruptby aroid

How Autodesk Disrupted Itself with an App – Technology Review
[Via Technology Review]

When Chris Cheung and Thomas Heermann, two middle managers at the software company Autodesk, first showed off their new iPhone drawing app, they got some skeptical looks. Why would anyone want to doodle on that tiny screen? And what could a $2.99 app matter to a company with around $2 billion in annual revenue?

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This is a great example of how the app economy changes things and how adaptive companies deal with that change,

Two middle managers, charged with working on one project, are able to see the possible impact of new technology on their products. The app economy allowed them to bootstrap themselves without much investment of time, resources, or even permission from the company.

The products their small group created were big hits. The managers hoped for 100,000 downloads in a year. They got one million in 50 days.

These sorts of numbers are disruptive and mind boggling to a company with revenues in the billions. In fact, their entire PC-driven business could disappear in a few years due to this sort of economy – one where new competitors can arise so fast.

But Autodesk essentially competed with itself, now knows what is needed and could expand rapidly into this new niche.

Heermann thinks the timing of the apps may prove critical because consumer-style products are beginning to gain popularity among the corporate workforce, a phenomenon known as consumerization. That shift could spell trouble for companies that are slow to adapt. Now that Autodesk is a top-ranked app seller, says Heerman, who is now the company’s director of consumer products, “it’s almost like having the company shape up and get ready for the future.”

Disruptive technologies always start small and in niche areas. #12 million is small potatoes to a billion dollar company. But that small amount can grow and is Autodesk is snot adaptive enough, could eventually destroy Autodesk”s value.

Now, however, the disruption is happening inside and Autodesk might be resilient enough to capitalize.

Because one thing that disruptive technologies do – they destroy business models.


What would an iPad have cost in …?

Just playing around with the CPI Inflation calculator from the Bureau of Labor Statisitcs.

For people – particularly those of us who are Boomers – contemplating having to spend so much for an iPad for their children. It is the item that is altering the landscape for Christmas this year.

The lowest priced iPad that costs $499. In 1960, when many boomers were young kids with big Christmas ideas – Sears still had their special Christmas catalog to look through – the iPad would have cost $65.24.

The average family in 1960 made $6180 so the iPad purchase would have represented less than half a week’s pay for the average family.

In 2009, the average household made $49,777. And the iPad is also less than half a week’s pay.

Doesn’t seem so bad.

And, yes, this does show that households today are making almost exactly what they were 50 years ago.

Yet the GDP per capita – the amount of the overall economy produced by each person – has increased over 16-fold since 1960. One person in 1960 was responsible for about $2800 of our economy. Today they produce over $47,000 – these are all corrected for inflation.

For all the progress the economy has made over that time, the average family has seen little gain in their income.

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