Another one bites the dust

Leaving in a Huff
[Via Marco.org]

Eric D. Snider’s hilarious account of one of AOL’s many recent layoffs. He’s obviously a professional (and quite good) writer: had anyone else written an account of the same events, it would have read like every other “I hate my job” rant, but I was laughing through this entire masterfully written story.

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I had wondered what happened to one of my favorite movie sites. Cinematical used to have a huge number of posts a day. Then it was down to one or two.

Not it becomes clear. It is another casualty of the Huffington Model. Too bad.

Anti-vaccine in NYC

vaccinationby otisarchives3

Help stop antivax ads in NYC
[Via Bad Astronomy]

I’ve just learned that antivax ads are now running on the Times Square Jumbotron in NYC (ironically, I was just there, right at that intersection, but I was in a cab and missed seeing the ad). These ads are sponsored by Joe Mercola and the National Vaccine Information Center.

It’s been a while since I’ve mentioned these two fonts of rabid antivaccination nonsense. Mercola is an alt-medder who claims to only want to promote “natural health”, which must mean getting pertussis, polio, and measles, because he fights vaccines tooth and nail. He won’t let reality stop him, nor decorum and good taste. He’s another in a long line of alt-med bullies, hoping to shout so loudly they can drown out reality.

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Vaccines have saved more people’s lives and produced better quality of life than virtually any other  medical intervention. Yet so many people refuse to understand this and to make this social impact part of their decision-making process.

There is a small risk to individuals with vaccinations but huge social benefits, ones that protect all of us. Vaccinations not only help the large majority of people but also help protect the weakest among us –  the very young and the very old.

Anti-vaxxers seem to have little regard here and seldom propose a course of action that will provide the huge individual benefit of vaccines with the tremendous social value they provide for those most susceptible to disease. They often suggest a course of action that has not been shown to be effective, for themselves or for society.

Vaccines save lives. Vaccines give people freedoms to live that would not be available without them. Anti-vaxxers need to demonstrate, convincingly and with facts, that another approach would provide better health and resistance to infectious disease.

I have yet to see that done.

Dry March fuels fires in Texas

fireby Dave Hogg

Driest March in Texas history fueling huge fires
[Via Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog]

Windy, dry and unstable weather conditions are expected for eastern Colorado and New Mexico, eastward to western Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas today–perfect weather for fires. Massive fires continue to rage out of control over large areas of Texas today. Over the past week, the fires scorched hundreds of square miles of rural Texas, destroyed dozens of homes, and sent one fire fighter to the hospital in critical condition.

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Drought conditions continue in Texas and much of the Southwest. Now we are seeing fires of tremendous scope. Similar things happened recently in Australia.

While it is not possible to demonstrate that this particular event is due to increasing global temperatures, statistical analysis of climate models indicates that there should be more of theses extreme events occurring as the global temperatures go up. Higher temperatures increases the probability of extreme drought.

Just as  a specific death from lung cancer can not be proven to be due to smoking, the overall lung cancer rates can be shown to be due to cigarette smoking. That is the power of statistics, probabilities and numeracy.

A single lung cancer death does not prove a correlation between smoking and cancer. But an analysis of all the deaths does show a direct correlation.

A single drought event does not prove a correlation between rising temperatures and drought. But an analysis of all the events? That picture is becoming clearer as more and more of these extreme weather events occur.

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