Companies as complex systems – Crosspost from SpreadingScience

[Crosspost from SpreadingScience]

networkby jurvetson

Seeing Your Company as a System
[Via Ackoff Center Weblog]

Much-needed guidance on making companies more employee-centered, adaptive, and capable This is an article from Strategy+Business by Andrea Gabor: … No matter how disparate the causes of failure, there is always a common thread: somewhere, somehow, management has let its attention slip…

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Many of the failures we have seen over the last few years – the financial industry, the housing industry, the oil industry – have arisen because the organization involved are being run like a ‘machine’ – push lever X to get result Y. A better approach in these complex setting is to view the organization as a living organism – where small changes in initial conditions, coupled with network effects, can result in disparate, somewhat stochastic, outcomes.

We have done a great job over the last century solving the problems that could be attacked with a ‘machine-based’ management approach. What we have left are the really complex problems where a wide variety of levers can be manipulated with often unexpected outcomes.

Few problems involving complex processes can be solved by moving a single lever. One point of attack will not provide a solution. In fact it often create problems elsewhere in the process.

Today’s complex world requires a different approach, one that overcomes the faults of the ‘machine-driven’ management approaches. This article serves as a nice introduction to the works of Russell Ackoff and others that describe a systems-based approach to management.

Key to this approach is a view of employees that seems to be anathema to many:

All the works mentioned in this guide have been linked to higher performance. Yet their focus on the expertise of ordinary employees remains a hard sell in many companies, because it requires an enormous long-term commitment to training and to local control and knowledge sharing.

Moreover, employee-centered systems organizations need to develop trust — between supervisors and employees and among employees who have to work together to understand and improve the system. Making this work takes skillful management. Indeed, many quality improvement efforts in the U.S. failed because they absorbed rigid process guidelines but failed to build in flexibility.

Management approaches utilizing complex systems thinking require a relationship with employees, especially those most directly engaged with complex problems, that few companies seem to be able to foment. Yet those organizations that can accomplish this will be able to successfully deal with much more complex problems than those that can not, producing an advantage that will be hard for ‘machine-based’ thinking to overcome.

Part of what SpreadingScience tries to do is educate organizations about human social networks, helping them understand how to leverage new technologies to identify and empower the people they need in order to solve complex problems. We help them understand how to adapt their tools to make it easier to support a network-driven management style, and allowing the organization to solve a greater range of complex problems.

The companies that can accomplish this will have a selective advantage over those who can not.

Great discussion on file sharing of films

movie theatre by gailf548

Film Director: File Sharing Only Hurts Bad Or Mediocre Films
[Via Techdirt]

TorrentFreak asked independent film director Sam Bozzo to comment on his experiences having his two most recent films leaked to BitTorrent. The stories in both cases were different. The first film, Blue Gold: World Water Wars was released normally, and then leaked online. The second, his documentary Hackers Wanted was shelved after internal disputes — but has now leaked to BitTorrent. Originally it was an old cut that was leaked, but now Bozzo’s “directors’ cut” has been leaked, and Bozzo seems fine with it. In fact, he claims that if you make a good film, having it leaked to BitTorrent can only help. It’s only bad if your film isn’t very good:

In a nutshell, I believe the only films that are hurt by torrent sharing are mediocre and bad films. In contrast, the good films of any genre only benefit from file-sharing. Due to this, I feel the current file-sharing trend is a catalyst for a true evolution in filmmaking…

That’s quite a statement, since so many in the movie industry disagree. But Bozzo does a good job backing it up by explaining his own experiences. In fact, he admits when he first found out that Blue Gold was available online he was “enraged and terrified I would never make my money back,” because of this. But he has since changed his mind, in part because he figured out how to embrace it:

I contacted the uploader of my film and asked she spread a message of support with the torrent, asking for donations if a viewer likes the film and explaining that was a self-financed endeavor. The result? I received many donations and emails of support from those who downloaded the film, but I furthermore believe that viewers spread the word of the film to their non-torrent-downloading friends and that DVD sales increased due to the leak. For me, the torrent leak was ultimately “free advertising”, and I am the only truly independent documentary filmmaker I know making his money back this year.

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The needs and motivations of an independent filmmaker are different than a major studio. This example shows how free downloading of a film can enhance certain situations. Often giving people the ability to reward good work provides an incentive for more revenue.

I also like the mention that while this can enhance things for a good movie, it can harm revenue for a bad movie. I’d be interested to hear if this is true, although determining just what is a ‘bad’ movie could be hard.

What this does show is that the economics of major motion picture production make it very hard to allow any perceived loss of revenue to exist. It does not matter if there is really any loss. Just the perception is enough.

And marketing costs for a major Hollywood movie can actually prevent the release of a finished movie. The release of the remake of Red Dawn is apparently in doubt because MGM lacks the money to market it and is looking for a buyer.

But the economics of modern technology allows a wide range of new entrepreneurs to creative works that permit widespread copying, as this gives them greater marketing advantages than normal.

Perhaps MGM should just release parts of the movie to the web, asking people to send them money for a marketing campaign. If done well enough, perhaps they could get it into movie theaters.

Assuming it is a good movie, that is.


GoodReader for iPad just got to be GreatReader

goodreader by ChrisDag

GoodReader for iPad adds VGA output, performance boost
[Via Macworld]

GoodReader for iPad, Good.iWare’s acclaimed all-purpose reader, has received an update to version 2.8, adding support for horizontal page turning for PDF files, VGA-out, and a few other goodies.

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Lots of performance boosts and increased readability in the new Good Reader but getting video out is a huge plus for me. At the moment, Keynote is the only presentation type app I have that will display video through the adapter.

Now I can use GoodReader to do the same thing but with PDFs. Since I can save all sorts of material as PDFs, even desktop Keynote presentations, this gives me greater flexibility of sources for presenting.

I may not get the great transitions, etc from Keynote but I can take someone else’s Powerpoint and just make a PDF of it rather than fiddle with Keynote, which often does some interesting things to Powerpoint.

Keynote is still the best way to create presentations but it requires tethering to a laptop with Keynote already on it to work on the iPad. Not so with GoodReader. I can sync wirelessly to a computer over WiFi, get the presentation as a PDF and go. It may even work with a PC (not having one handy, I can only guess.)

Wireless syncing and video out make GoodReader one of my most important apps on the iPad.

Now might not be a good time to plan on a summer trip to Europe

Signs and Portents
[Via Only in it for the gold]


This image, from the Department of Geophysics of the Icelandic Meteorlogical Service, shows locations of earthquakes in Mýrdalsjökull and Eyjafjallajökull for a recent 48 hour period.

Hat tip to Mark Liberman of Language Log of all people.

Lifting text directly from Liberman,

Mýrdalsjökull (the “mire valley glacier”) covers the volcano Katla. According to the Wikipedia article,

In the past 1,000 years, all three known eruptions of Eyjafjallajökull have triggered subsequent Katla eruptions. Following the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruptions, on 20 April 2010 Icelandic President Ólafur Grímsson said “the time for Katla to erupt is coming close … we [Iceland] have prepared … it is high time for European governments and airline authorities all over Europe and the world to start planning for the eventual Katla eruption”.

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Eyjafjallajökull erupts and then the big one erupts. That is the pattern. If Katia blows, it could put a lot of ash into European airspace. A lot of ash.

I’m hoping that it simply melts the glacier a little. If it decides to really go off, things could get quite bad in Europe, especially since the ash has been toxic to livestock in the past. A case could be made that the food shortages that helped lead to the French Revolution were caused by the ash from this volcano.

A further sign of the evilness that is Apple

Become a World Cup nuisance with the iVuvuzela iPhone app
[Via Edible Apple]

If you’ve been watching the 2010 World Cup at all, you’ve undoubtedly heard that annoying background noise, in the form of a horn, that lasts for the excruciating duration of each match. What you’re hearing, to be precise, is a Vuvuzela.

“A Vuvuzela?” you ask. Why yes. A vuvuzela, also known as a stadium or blowing horn, is a a meter long contraption that unleashes a somewhat irritating sound, the effects of which are only amplified when you have a stadium filled with thousands of people blowing their vuvuzelas at the same time. The horn is quite popular in South Africa, and by extension, was introduced to most of the world when World Cup play began last Friday.

Many folks, though, are endlessly irritated by the sound, and it can certainly put a damper on listening to the play by play on TV. Still, the folks lucky enough to attend the World Cup matches in South Africa apparently think otherwise.

But what about all the folks who want to get in on the horn blowing action but weren’t able to hop on a plane to South Africa? Well, iPhone developers have proven themselves quite adept at incorporating the latest trends and fads into fly by night iPhone apps.

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The stadium horn is pretty popular in South America also. My son and I were at a US women vs Mexico friendly a few years back and some Mexican fans showed up with 3 if these. It was upsetting to the little girls severa rows up and their father asked the guys if they could please stop because his daughter wanted to watch the game.

The look on the faces of those 3 guys was priceless. How can you watch a game and not make noise? They apparently figured that Seattle people were crazy and left, so the man and his daughters could enjoy the game in peace in quiet.

I would imagine that listening to several thousand of these could be tremendously annoying. And Now Apple brings that sound everywhere.

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