Where would we be without Apple?

[Crossposted at SpreadingScience]
apple by davidgsteadman
Will anyone be able to compete with Apple’s revolutionary iPad?
[Via MacDailyNews]

“If you want to buy a consumer-friendly tablet computer today and you don’t want to purchase Apple’s iPad, you’re pretty much out of luck,” John D. Sutter reports for CNN.

[More]

The inability of the computer industry to match what Apple has done over the last 30 years is simply amazing. Apple continues to see where the market is moving and then leaps ahead of its competitors to define the market, rather than simply follow it.

As this post mentions, Jobs and Apple have defined the personal computer interface three and maybe four times – Apple II, Mac, OS X and iPhone/iPad. At each stage, the interaction between the user and the computer became more intuitive and easier.

Apple also defined much of the way computers looked – Apple II, Mac, Powerbook, iMac, iPhone/iPad. Not only have they been largely responsible for how we interact with a computer, they have defined how computers look.

People have been talking about selling tablets for 6 or 7 years. Yet here Apple is again, not only defining the market but selling a ton of the devices, leaving everyone else to try and catch up to something that they really have no clue about.

Why has no one else been able to do that in 6 years? How was Apple able to essentially create a new market?

Apple has always had the unique ability to take something really complex – the creation of a computational device that people can use – and find a way to simplify it. It takes a lot of hard work to accomplish this, but also an ability to manipulate really complex ideas in ways that few organizations are capable of.

Watching other organizations try and define this is like watching blind men describe an elephant – it must be the light weight; it must be the touch screen; it must be the apps. None of them understand how to present a complex device that requires innovation at all stages, not just one.

It requires the creation of an organization that can synthesize large amounts of information and make wise decisions.

Just think what the world would be like if Apple had not existed? I would nominate Jobs for man of the last half century. Not merely because of his individual abilities – which are prodigious – but because he has also been able to leverage the mass creativity of his employees.

One important aspect of all the organizations that Jobs has been associated with is the large number of named individuals that are found in the development of any of the innovations.The names of the Mac developers for Apple are well known. Same at NeXt or at Pixar.

The actual people involved in much of the innovative changes are given their recognition.The Wikipedia article about the Mac lists over 15 people, all with links, who were involved in the development of the computer. The one on the development of Windows lists not a single name.

Coincidence?

Read about the days of the development of the Mac and you see a group of wildly creative people solving difficult problems. Read about NeXT, where Jobs experimented with corporate organization as much as he did with computer programming, or simply observe what happened with a company like Pixar, where the creative geniuses were able to create an entirely new art form using computers, leapfrogging ahead of all their competitors.

The ability to take a core group of creative individuals and harness them to an awesome task is not easy. I wrote about this is a series on Synthetic Organizations – Part 1, Part 2 and Part 3.

Marty Baker at Creativity Central broke down some of the principles seen at Pixar and also can be seen at Apple:

Pixar’s Operating Principles can be distilled down to 3 principles.

1. Everyone must have the freedom to communicate with anyone.

2. It must be safe for everyone to offer ideas.

3. We must stay close to innovations happening in the academic community.

In the Innovator’s Dilemma, Clayton Christensen discusses the difficulty organizations have in utilizing disruptive technology in novel ways. The dilemma is that often the same processes that helped make them successful now prevent them from making the leap to a new technology set. See Clay Shirky’s article on the collapse of business models for some examples.

Even when they know that they have to change and even what the changes must be, they almost always fail in making the leap.

That is mainly in the way they are organized, how they are run and the types of communities they represent.

Yet companies that have Steve Jobs organizing them seem to have been able to do this. Apple defined personal computing, it defined the graphic user interface, the laptop, the MP3 player, the smartphone, the tablet computer. Pixar defined computer generated animation.

By creating organizations where innovations are not shuttled through layers of middle management, with each layer sucking the originality out, Jobs has been able to drive disruptive innovations rather than react to them.

The most amazing thing to me is that Apple has succeeded in being a market leader during two separate paradigm shifting market wars – first the graphical user interface wars between Apple vs Microsoft and now the Internet as interface wars between Apple vs Google. Microsoft’s inability to become a major player in the new way of the world is an example of corporations failing to make the leap, of suffering the Innovator’s Dilemma.

Yet Apple is right there, leading the way as the market makes another decision about the future course of computing. Apple may not win but the course it charts drives decisions in ways that no other company of the last half century has.

Now the market must find ways to respond, to be more innovative than Apple.

Without Apple driving the industry to be creative – how in the hell do we keep up with Apple – we would not be where we are today. It makes one wonder where we would be if Jobs had not been forced out at Apple by a sugar-water salesman. We may only just now have gained where we would have been without those 10 lost years.

[Updated]Luckily I’m a Steeleye Span fan

A wicked illusion
[Via Bad Astronomy]

This is a very cool short video showing a nifty little illusion. I had it figured out about 1/3 of the way through because, after all, I am a supergenius (or, more likely, I spent my youth and a goodly part of my adult life playing with illusions). Take a look:

2D/3D illusions like this are really fun, but also something to keep in mind with a lot in visual sciences; our brains are so easy to fool with such things, making us think objects are closer or farther, smaller or bigger, than they really are. If only most UFO enthusiasts could appreciate this…

[More]

This is a really nice demonstration of something called anamorphosis, which has been used by artists for hundreds of years.

I figured out pretty quickly where this was going because I first saw the use of anamorphosis on the cover of a Steeleye Span LP, All Around My Hat:

201005041051.jpg

Tilting the cover to the right angle and the faces appear as normal.

And anyone who watches rugby or soccer games sees these sorts of things all the time. The advertising in the end of the field, and sometimes on it, looks normal from the perspective of the camera only because they are distorted on the field.

UPDATE: Here is another nice cube:

Apple, Google and FTC – It’s all about the advertising

barn door by dok1  
FTC to block Google/AdMob deal?
[Via Edible Apple]

All Things D is reporting that the FTC is leaning towards blocking Google’s $750 million purchase of AdMob, an online advertising platform that Apple was also interested in acquiring before Google swooped in with a near-billion dollar purchase.

Citing unnamed sources close to the situation, Kara Swisher writes:

While the situation could change, of course, sources said that the lack of any kind of indication of clear direction of the inquiry this late in the game by FTC staff–which recommends action to its five commissioners–is a bad sign.

“The federal government is looking for a way to discipline Google in some way, because of larger concerns about its search power on the Web,” said one source. “And this is where it looks like it will try to show that concern.”

An official FTC position on the deal is expected to come sometime next week, and may in fact result in an injunction to stop the deal due to antitrust concerns.

[More]

So, the FTC does not like the effect this deal would have on internet advertising. I read this shortly after I saw this:

WSJ: ‘Apple Draws Scrutiny From Regulators’
[Via Daring Fireball]

No more grains of salt; now the WSJ is echoing the New York Post’s report from yesterday:

U.S. antitrust enforcers are taking a keen interest in recent changes that Apple Inc. made to its licensing agreement with iPhone application developers and are likely to open a preliminary investigation into whether the company’s actions stifle competition in mobile devices, according to people familiar with the situation.

Could be more about mobile advertising than Section 3.3.1, though:

Apple’s new language forbidding apps from transmitting analytical data could prevent ad networks from being able to effectively target ads, potentially giving Apple’s new iAd mobile-advertising service an edge, executives at ad networks say.

One wireless-advertising executive said he was contacted a few weeks ago by an official from the FTC who wanted to talk about how the mobile-ad industry works, the Apple developer agreement and how it could affect the executive’s business.

But what if iAds itself also follows the new stricter privacy terms?

[More]

So, the inquiries into Apple may not be so much about Flash, etc. but about advertising. The worry here would be that Apple is leveraging its influence in mobile apps into another area – namely ads.

Seems that the FTC could well be worried about the encroachment of the two high tech companies/rivals of this decade into advertising. The possible ability of Apple and Google to control virtually ALL ads on the Internet is something for them to worry about.

But I really do not see what real regulatory weapon they can wield. Perhaps they can stop the merger of Google and AdMob but if so, then surely they have to prevent Apple from doing something similar.

Except they did not and they let Apple buy an ad company to produce iAds. So now the FTC seems to be trying to close the barn door after the horses have gotten out by trying to find some sort of anti-trust aspect to rein in Apple and its advertising dreams.

That will not go well, I think. Microsoft had a much more obvious abuse of its monopoly and it ended up essentially winning in the end.

Maybe some really creative lawyers at the FTC will become involved.

Return of a developer

Fraser Speirs Is Back In
[Via Daring Fireball]

Fraser Speirs:

iPhone OS is the first mass-market operating system where consumers are no longer afraid to install software on their computers (I’m not counting read-only media software platforms like games consoles here). In a conversation recently, a friend recounted a scene that he passed by in an airport. Four fifty-something women were sitting at a cafe table discussing the latest apps they had downloaded on their iPod touches. New software can’t break your iPhone OS device and, if you don’t like it, total removal is only a couple of taps away.

Why not count the game consoles, though? That’s the best way to think of iPhone OS devices: app consoles.

[More]

Fraser’s article is a great explanation of how the computing ecosystem has changed with the release of the iPad. As he suggests, it is the taming of the Wild West where people may not be able to as easily forge their own paths but the stability of the settled towns provides a security that can overcome some restrictions on freedom.

[Listening to: Catch the Wind from the album "The Very Best of the Early Years" by Donovan]

How times have changed

The iPhone cleans up that technological mess [Photo]
[Via Edible Apple]

Ain’t this the truth.

via Top Cultured

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For the older generation it was ‘he who dies with the most toys wins.’ Not so much today. We can carry around ALL the toys from 30 years ago in our pockets.

I wonder what things will look like 30 years from now?

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