by spaceodissey
Something else for the deniers to deny: The ocean is absorbing less carbon dioxide:
[Via Climate Progress]
Premier among their many unscientific beliefs, deniers cling to the notion that some magical negative feedback will avert serious climate impacts. Sadly, we will need magic to save humanity if we foolishly decide to listen to the deniers and to keep ignoring the one negative feedback that science says can certainly save humanity – simply reducing greenhouse gas emisions.
The scientific reality based on actual observations (not to mention the paleoclimate record) is that the climate models are not underestimating negative feedbacks – the models are wildly underestimating the positive or amplifying feedbacks. Among the greatest concerns is the growing evidence that the major carbon sinks are saturating, that a greater and greater fraction of human emissions will end up in the atmosphere.
A new study in Geophysical Research Letters (subs. req’d), “Sudden, considerable reduction in recent uptake of anthropogenic CO2 by the East/Japan Sea,” finds
The results presented in this paper indicate that the rate of CO2 accumulation in the deepest basin of the East/Japan Sea has considerably decreased over the transition period between 1992-1999 and 1999-2007.
The authors explain to the UK’s Guardian why this is an amplifying feedback, why warming is diminishing the ability of the ocean sink to absorb CO2:
(more)
The changes wrought by climate change are often occurring more rapidly than the models predict. In many cases this is due to the increase in positive feedback loops instead of the balancing negative feedback.
If you watch the temperature of a pot of water as you heat it, you discover that adding more heat increases the temperature. But all of a sudden, adding more heat no longer results in an increase of temperature. It stays the same, even though the pot is soaking up loads of heat.
This is because the water has reached the boiling point. The change in state from water to steam soaks up all the energy. As more energy is put into the system more steam is created. The water acts like a heat sink, removing energy from the surroundings but not increasing in temperature.
Only when all the water is converted into steam will the temperature start to rise again. But for that period of time while the water is changing state, it appears that there is no real effect on temperature even though lots of heat is entering the system. If we were not careful, we could fool ourselves that the pot could continue to soak up heat for a long time.
Like the pot of water, oceans can act as sinks, this time for CO2. They help maintain the equilibrium of our climate. For a time we can fool ourselves that the increasing addition of CO2 to the atmosphere will have no effect, since the oceans will help soak it all up. But if they become saturated and can no longer remove adequate amounts of CO2, then like the pot of water, things can change rapidly.
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