United States death map revealed:
[Via Eureka! Science News - Popular science news]
A map of natural hazard mortality in the United States has been produced. The map, featured in BioMed Central’s open access International Journal of Health Geographics, gives a county-level representation of the likelihood of dying as the result of natural events such as floods, earthquakes or extreme weather.
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This is a fascinating paper to examine. I’ve often wondered where the best/worst places to live when it came to natural disasters was. This paper displays it at the county level, at least based on data from 1970-2004. Red indicates more deaths than average. Blue less. The darker colors means the death rate is more than 1.5 standard deviations from the average. This means that these counties are in the top 10% or so in their class.

So the data does not include Katrina. That will have changed what parts of LA and MS look like. Los Angeles and San Francisco look really good because the Big One has not hit yet. Seattle and King COunty are niceYet, it is easy to see that Illinois, Indiana, Ohio and Michigan all have lots of blue, meaning they are better than average. So does New York City and Boston.
The authors also checked to see if the good/bad news was clustered. That is, if it really is a natural disaster, then adjoining counties should have significant correlations. This map shows what this analysis looks like.

Again, the areas listed above show lots of positive correlation. LA and SF are still great until the Big One. The entire states of Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut and most of New Jersey are all blue. Michigan may not be a great place to find a job right now, but you are pretty safe from natural disasters.
What is interesting is the wide swath of red along the Rockies. A large number of these deaths come from severe winter weather and flooding. I’m surprised that these are still such huge factors in mortality due to natural forces.
We tend to hear about big name stuff – earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes. But many people still die from age-old disasters – floods and storms.
The other interesting thing to observe is that the safest places to live are generally in urban areas, particularly near water. The Northeast is better than the South, unless you live in a major city in the South. East of the Mississippi is better than west. And stay away from Arkansas.
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